We have out Top 13. I'm kind of excited about this year, there are a few people that people seem to think are the chosen one, etc. That can't be possible, so that's a good sign! I think there are a bunch of contestants at this point who have potential to make a really long run if not win outright, so I'm definitely excited. First week is Michael Jackson week (and the results show will have both Kanye West and Kelly Clarkson).
THE TOP 13
23 years old, Memphis, TN
Lil Rounds has to be considered one of the favorites to win the whole thing and probably the strongest contestant out of the girls. She is a extremely polished singer, and had no trouble belting out her Mary J Blige number during her performance. Simon called her brilliant. Out of the three almost sure paths to the Top 13 (Her, Danny and Adam) she was the only one who really killed her performance. The other girls in this competition don't really match up vocally, and in unlike seasons past, there is no "battle of the divas" to contend with. In my opinion, she is the most likely to wow us week to week all the way through.
27 years old, Jasper, TX
Michael is the worker from the oil rig become Top 13 contestant. He has more countryish, rough vocals in amongst a group of males with much smoother vocals. Michael got voted in ahead of Anoop, so he must have a decent fanbase but I can't imagine him going very far unless he really wows everyone in the first two weeks. I can't see it.
22 years old, Sandy, UT
Punk rock tattoos but coffee house singer vocals. In a current market where people like Amy Winehouse and Lily Allen are what is new and popular, she definitely has a chance to come across as new and contemporary. However, her vocals are some of the weaker in the competition, and like Anoop, she lost out to some people initially who also don't look like strong contenders. Megan needs to very quickly build her own niche, and she can wind up like Jason Castro, a real niche singer that can parlay a few good performances into a long run.
23 years old,Scottsdale, AZ
Well, no pun intended it's easy to see what initially attacted people to Scott, his backstory of being the first blind idol contestant to move out of the preliminary rounds. He's been solid in every round which has enabled him to hold onto the large buzz he had initially. He's really likable, he has a good sense of humor and he is a great singer. Not a bad combination. Definitely could win but I would think he'd fall short - as solid as he's been there has been no real exciting moments from him yet that make me think there are more coming.
23 years old, Kalamazoo, MI
Matt has made almost no impression on me at all. I guess bluesy is a good way to describe his voice, but the main impression it made on me was one of horror as he massacred Coldplay after I was happy he had chosen something less than 20 years old to sing. I don't think Matt has much chance at all, seems like an early round sacrifice to me.
23 years old, Conway, AR
Anyone who is a Kris fan may want to skip this paragraph. I really think Kris is in because he's a young guy and because of his looks. I didn't think his performances were anything special, but he was one of the people who had a nice fanbase early on and kept it regardless of what he did. There is no reason Kris can't go for a while in the competition, but I don't see him as any sort of contender.
BTW, Tatiana (the psycho) has a very large fanbase as there were so many complaints after the show about her being eliminated. To say I was surprised is an understatement. How someone who acted like a total psycho during almost every moment of the competition gatherd so much sympathy is beyond me.
20 years old, Carolina, PR
Jorge came out of absolutely nowhere to definitively take one of the top 3 spots during his week. If you recall last year, David Cook went from interesting Top 24 contestant to contender to win off ONE performance, Hello. The momentum gotten from coming out of almost nowhere can be great for a contestant, and while Jorge had nowhere near the moment David Cook had, he went from nowhere to strong contestant over the course of his 2 minutes. (Singing a song Clay Aiken made a staple in the competition no less.) For Jorge to progress far, he will need to come out and show his one great peformance was no fluke. If he can do that, he may do really well in the competition.
16 years old, Starkville, MS
We have not one, but two 16 year old girls in the Top 13 this year, and much to my surprise, both heavily endorsed my Simon. I think Jasmine is the kind of contestant that wildcard was for, someone the judges think will do really well and just underachieved in her initial performance. She did do really well in her Wildcard performance, discovering a really strong voice that none of us had seen up to that point. I'm really not sure what we will see from Jasmine, a 16 year old girl that looks like a popstar with a big huge voice should certainly be a factor in this competition, but until the wildcard round she looked like a young, nervous girl who just couldn't sing as well as the other girls. Very interesting.
28 years old, Milwaukee, WI
Danny Gokey had everyone won over really early in the season. His story was so sad (his wife's recent passing) and he was there with his friend, and he really seemed to just be taking in every step of the experience as much as he could. He's sang well in his audition, every time in Hollywood, and seemed a sure bet to the top 12 (which he is). Then a funny thing happened, he decided to sing another inspirational song, his friend flashed a picture of him and his wife, and people asked if he is looking for sympathy? My take - i can't see how you can expect someone recently widowed and whose wife would have liked him to do this not to have her forefront in what he is thinking as he is doing this. He does need to tone it down though, no inspirational song of the week. Everyone already knows who he is, he is good enough to get by on his singing from here on out. Definitely a contender.
21 years old, Chapel Hill, NC
Anoop has a very interesting road to the Final 13, him being the contestant that makes this a final 13 and not a final 12. (They've really tortured him, he was the last wildcard chosen and got eliminated before being brought back as the surprise 13th contestant.) I don't think this hurts him at all, and he has a few things going for him, he's likable, he comes across as dorky except when he's singing (ala Clay Aiken) and he's got a good nickname (Anoop Dawg) that his fans can use for him. I think he's a very strong contestant and is one very good performance from being around a very long time.
16 years old, Los Angeles, CA
Along with Jorge, Alison came seemingly out of nowhere to get voted into the Top 13. She also (like Jorge) sang an Idol standard, ALONE (torn to shreds by Carrie Underwood in a good way) and came through with flying colors. She is a interesting case, she's only 16 but Simon likes her (he usually doesn't like the young contestants) and she came across so badly at first, she looked awful and she sounded completely confused and overwhelmed talking to Ryan. That was pre-singing however. The next day she looked 100% better and was confident as she knew she'd get voted through, and she was right. I still don't see her going far, but I didn't even see her here and she moved into the Top 13 pretty straight away. I could be very wrong here.
21 years old, Memphis, TN
It's good to take what the judges say to heart. Case in point, Alexis. During Hollywood she didn't look that good (her hair color, her style just wasn't right) and her singing got away from the bluesy quality of her audition. Cue Week 1, she comes back with her current multicolored doo, a sexy bluesy vocal, and shot through to the Top 13. The judges loved her, with Simon comparing her to Kelly Clarkson at the same level of the competition. That's a huge compliment, and shot her to the forefront of everyone's minds in the first week. If she comes out great this week and recaptures that momentum from that first week, look out. I would call her a dark horse, but anyone with Simon's backing goes from Dark Horse to contender.
26 years old, Los Angeles, CA
Adam is the best vocalist in the competition probably. (He also looks like a Jonas Bros, not a bad thing. ) He has broadway experience, and it shows with how effortlessly he sings. He also is very over-dramatic, and after his last performance, I wonder if this is something he can avoid. (The judges complained, he did it anyway.) He is someone that should be an extremely strong contestant, but may really struggle when the theme is not a style he excels in. If he does manage to avoid some of the drama in his performances and finds a way to fit the styles around himself, he could not only do well, he could win this whole thing.
Adam gets the award for best scandal that wasn't as VFTW wanted us to be outraged he might be gay, which was greeted with a huge yawn as he shot by his round with ease.
All in all I think this is going to be a very exciting season. I haven't made my picks yet, but I will have them soon (they will be on the spreadsheet i send out). I find it funny, people always complain to me it's so hard to pick the winner, but that's kind of the point. If anyone is 100% sure who would win, they we'd all be sure. (Like the Carrie season, there was no point from her audition on that I wasn't 100% sure she'd win.) The 4th judge dynamic is interesting, I think it may hurt the weaker contestants in any given week as Paula tends to dominate the people who stink, until Simon SMACKS them down. It's not positive. (Simon seems to like a lot of the Top 13, Allison, Megan, Lil Rounds, Anoop, Jasmine, Alexis have all gotten his stamp of approval.) I still really like Kara as a judge, I don't understand why they don't invent something wrong with Paula and just remove her.
JUAN